Labor is on track for a devastating defeat in 10 days, with Brisbane and regional Queensland turning against Premier Steven Miles and booting several senior ministers from their seats.
An exit poll of 1000 Queenslanders conducted by The Courier-Mail and its sister publications at early voting booths in 10 seats on Tuesday reveals a soaring primary vote for the LNP and trouble for Labor.
Across the 10 electorates, the LNP’s primary vote is at 48.2 per cent compared with Labor’s 30 per cent, the Greens’ 9.4 per cent and One Nation at 7.4 per cent.
The result is strikingly similar to September’s Newspoll, with the exception of a recorded 42 per cent primary vote for the LNP and lower vote for the Greens, likely due to a focus on regional Queensland.
The exit poll on day two of early voting indicates voters in the three Townsville seats, Mackay and several southeast Queensland electorates will remove the nine-year Labor government from office on October 26 as crime and cost of living dominate concerns.
Worryingly for Labor is the predicted loss of at least three ministers, including rising star Meaghan Scanlon and veteran Mick de Brenni.
At the 2020 state election, pre-poll results were almost identical to the final primary vote.
Mr Miles attempted to sandbag outer Brisbane seats in the first two weeks of the campaign before turning his attention to salvageable seats in regional Queensland.
His effort appears to have paid off in the inner city, where veteran minister Grace Grace and Deputy Speaker Joe Kelly appear likely to defeat the Greens.
However the 1000-voter exit poll indicates Queenslanders are seeking a change of government.
In the Gold Coast electorate of Gaven, Ms Scanlon will struggle to hold off the surging LNP and its TV-personality-turned-candidate Bianca Stone.
A poll of 100 early voters put Ms Stone’s primary vote at 47 per cent compared to Ms Scanlon’s 36 per cent – an 11-point fall on her 2020 result.
One Nation recorded a strong showing with 12 per cent ahead of the Greens’ five per cent.
It would be enough to see Ms Stone elected after preferences and be a devastating loss for Ms Scanlon, who is considered a future leader of the Labor Party.
The government is facing annihilation in its three Townsville seats with the LNP’s primary vote soaring to 56 per cent in Thuringowa.
It would spell almost certain defeat for Aaron Harper and neighbouring Labor MPs Les Walker and Resources Minister Scott Stewart in Townsville.
Labor’s primary vote in the seat of Thuringowa, according to the exit poll, is at 20 per cent.
It is just five points higher than Katter’s Australian Party, which remains a dominant force in central Queensland.
One Nation and an Independent have 4 per cent of the first-preference vote while the Greens hold 1 per cent.
47737373 on
I don’t believe that. Everyone I know + everywhere I read on Reddit, there is overwhelming support for the Labor Party Team ™️. If not, I’d say to everyone, remember when this Labor Government kept you safe by closing the borders during Covid. Remember when this Labor Government said Queensland hospitals are for Queenslanders only.
This is a government that puts Queenslanders first and I’m sure it will be reflected come election day.
stupid_mistake__101 on
Oof that’s diabolical. Thing is though, bold take, but I think Anastasia saw this coming and that’s the real reason she stood down because she didn’t have the guts to face the wipeout the polls were predicting last December also. Better be the rat leaving the sinking ship now than have this loss on my record.
Bet she must be thinking I made the right choice and not my problem anymore 😁
I actually think with respect Steven Miles has made a bold and brave attempt at reform with things like 50c fares – you know things that actually make a difference to people’s lives. 50c fares would be amazing to have in my state and would be a vote winner for me too. I don’t think he deserves the incoming wipeout loss to be attached to his name.
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Paywall
Polling [Graphic](https://content.api.news/v3/images/bin/8fbb73a79804a65f2ba158b5b090c2b0?width=1024)
Labor is on track for a devastating defeat in 10 days, with Brisbane and regional Queensland turning against Premier Steven Miles and booting several senior ministers from their seats.
An exit poll of 1000 Queenslanders conducted by The Courier-Mail and its sister publications at early voting booths in 10 seats on Tuesday reveals a soaring primary vote for the LNP and trouble for Labor.
Across the 10 electorates, the LNP’s primary vote is at 48.2 per cent compared with Labor’s 30 per cent, the Greens’ 9.4 per cent and One Nation at 7.4 per cent.
The result is strikingly similar to September’s Newspoll, with the exception of a recorded 42 per cent primary vote for the LNP and lower vote for the Greens, likely due to a focus on regional Queensland.
The exit poll on day two of early voting indicates voters in the three Townsville seats, Mackay and several southeast Queensland electorates will remove the nine-year Labor government from office on October 26 as crime and cost of living dominate concerns.
Worryingly for Labor is the predicted loss of at least three ministers, including rising star Meaghan Scanlon and veteran Mick de Brenni.
At the 2020 state election, pre-poll results were almost identical to the final primary vote.
Mr Miles attempted to sandbag outer Brisbane seats in the first two weeks of the campaign before turning his attention to salvageable seats in regional Queensland.
His effort appears to have paid off in the inner city, where veteran minister Grace Grace and Deputy Speaker Joe Kelly appear likely to defeat the Greens.
However the 1000-voter exit poll indicates Queenslanders are seeking a change of government.
In the Gold Coast electorate of Gaven, Ms Scanlon will struggle to hold off the surging LNP and its TV-personality-turned-candidate Bianca Stone.
A poll of 100 early voters put Ms Stone’s primary vote at 47 per cent compared to Ms Scanlon’s 36 per cent – an 11-point fall on her 2020 result.
One Nation recorded a strong showing with 12 per cent ahead of the Greens’ five per cent.
It would be enough to see Ms Stone elected after preferences and be a devastating loss for Ms Scanlon, who is considered a future leader of the Labor Party.
The government is facing annihilation in its three Townsville seats with the LNP’s primary vote soaring to 56 per cent in Thuringowa.
It would spell almost certain defeat for Aaron Harper and neighbouring Labor MPs Les Walker and Resources Minister Scott Stewart in Townsville.
Labor’s primary vote in the seat of Thuringowa, according to the exit poll, is at 20 per cent.
It is just five points higher than Katter’s Australian Party, which remains a dominant force in central Queensland.
One Nation and an Independent have 4 per cent of the first-preference vote while the Greens hold 1 per cent.
I don’t believe that. Everyone I know + everywhere I read on Reddit, there is overwhelming support for the Labor Party Team ™️. If not, I’d say to everyone, remember when this Labor Government kept you safe by closing the borders during Covid. Remember when this Labor Government said Queensland hospitals are for Queenslanders only.
This is a government that puts Queenslanders first and I’m sure it will be reflected come election day.
Oof that’s diabolical. Thing is though, bold take, but I think Anastasia saw this coming and that’s the real reason she stood down because she didn’t have the guts to face the wipeout the polls were predicting last December also. Better be the rat leaving the sinking ship now than have this loss on my record.
Bet she must be thinking I made the right choice and not my problem anymore 😁
I actually think with respect Steven Miles has made a bold and brave attempt at reform with things like 50c fares – you know things that actually make a difference to people’s lives. 50c fares would be amazing to have in my state and would be a vote winner for me too. I don’t think he deserves the incoming wipeout loss to be attached to his name.