Harris leads Trump by 5 points in Pennsylvania: Poll

Source: plz-let-me-in

29 Comments

  1. I really wish we’d stop putting so much Emphasis on polling whether it’s good or bad. I’m much more interested in statewide office polling And individual house races.

  2. > Harris is winning 49 percent support in the poll, compared to 44 percent for Trump, in the race for the Keystone State’s 19 electoral votes.

    Pennsylvania is basically a must-win state for Harris. If she loses Pennsylvania, she’ll basically need to win every other swing state in order to win the presidency. It is probably *the* most important state in the presidential election.

    Give Harris Pennsylvania in [538’s “what-if” tool](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-harris-2024-election-map/), and she has an 88% chance of winning the election (up from the current 58%). Give Trump Pennsylvania, and her chances of winning drop down to 18%.

  3. Im amazed that there are people out there for whom something happened in last month that made Trump less attractive to them. Were they blind until September and miraculously regained vision? Had they been under rocks and decided to crawl out and take a look? Like what could possibly have caused this poll swing that didn’t exist 1, 7, 12, 24, 48, 96 months ago?

  4. Winning the blue wall states including PA + 1 single additional electoral vote from Nebraska will be 270, enough for Harris to become the first woman president

  5. Same outfit that showed her up 7 in Wisconsin.

    Any love is good loving, and I’ll take what I can get. But realistically, how reliable is this source?

  6. I’m say this with so much love, as someone who has been canvassing the past 4 weekends in a liberal part of PA- I don’t think she’s up by 5. It’s going to be a turn out election, and a close one. But we are optimistic!

  7. Sure_Quality5354 on

    Momentum continues to build in her favor, this is extremely promising. If trends continue, we will never have to worry about a trump presidency again

  8. A few things I think are factoring into this. 1) People tuning into politics and seeing that Trump is somehow worse now. 2) Kamala was not nearly as well known as Biden was, so now undecideds got introduced to her basically at the debate. 3) the Democratic ground game and spending game is way outperforming the GOP.

  9. Plastic-Kangaroo1234 on

    I keep seeing different shit. It’s impossible to really know until Election Day, I guess.

  10. I hear things like this while every Harris ad tells me she’s being out spent by Trump and behind in every state. I know that’s just fundraising talk but it’s driving me crazy.

  11. I am seeing the same amount of signs

    However, the Harris signs are one per house

    The Trump signs are the size of garage doors and they cover the front yard

    Have yet to see a house with only one Trump sign

    These people are so fucking weird

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