This happens, but only if we vote, and we have to vote!
Homer_J_Pimpson on
If Harris wins Florida it is over basically immediately. Get registered, get ready, make a plan, and vote!
SonofTreehorn on
The polls had Biden winning in 2020 and Trump won by a margin of 3.4 points (largest margin for Florida since 2004) bolstered mainly by the Latino vote. Unless that changes significantly, Trump will probably win Florida again.
Dilettante on
Headline: will flip
First sentence: within striking distance… could potentially…
It’s annoying when news sites do that.
melodien on
Reminder: Democrats need a majority in BOTH houses before they can actually effect change at the scale needed. Please vote.
autotldr on
This is the best tl;dr I could make, [original](https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-flip-swing-states-rnc-chair-donald-trump-1957648) reduced by 81%. (I’m a bot)
*****
> Vice President Kamala Harris is within striking distance of taking two major swing states, which would spell doom for Donald Trump's campaign, according to a former Republican National Committee chair.
> If Harris won North Carolina and Florida, along with every other non-swing state that President Joe Biden won in 2020, she would receive 272 Electoral College votes, enough to win the election, even if former President Donald Trump won every other swing state.
> A Harris win there would mean Trump would have to take every other swing state except Nevada to still win the election overall.
She’s probably going to flip NC. Ohio might be closer than a lot of people are expecting too because Vance is pissing off so many people in places like Springfield.
dinkidonut on
Florida will be close, but I doubt it’ll flip… they will not only vote for Trump, but also for Rick Scott…
Amon7777 on
There’s almost no scenario where Harris wins NC but doesn’t win say PA. If NC goes for Harris then it’s a blow out night.
Blarguus on
NC I almost expect to go harris
Florida not so much but I’ve been wrong before
Let’s hope she can
Lyconi on
Florida + NC has been my prediction all along.
AntoniaFauci on
That would be great, but fresh polls published 5 minutes ago are stomach-churning. They show Trump has reversed Kamala’s positive results from last week. (These are NYT/Siena which we were all pleased to believe last week.)
If we apply the following neutral and highest-probability assumptions:
* Trump wins all assumed red states
* Kamala wins all assumed blue states
* Kamala manages to sweep the “blue wall states”
* Trump fails to win either WI, MI or PA
* Kamala wins the Omaha EC vote
this would result in a 270-268 Kamala win. Of course we’d also need to hope all blue state margins are sizeable enough to beat back corrupt GOP challenges and crooked SCROTUS interference.
BUT… if Nebraska’s crooked governor gets away with his plot to steal the Omaha EC vote from Harris and grant it to Trump, then Trump wins the election. That’s because it creates a 269-269 tie, and the tie-breaking rules favor Republicans.
buddhistbulgyo on
Democrats going all in on Texas and Florida? Do it nerds. The best defense is a good offence.
Might be enough to win Ted Cruz’s seat in Texas even if they lose there.
efequalma on
If Kamala flips Florida and North Carolina, the GOP will need to abort their platform.
Apprehensive-Mouse53 on
Good. Flip those states, and we can finally flip Trump the bird for the final time.
nanopicofared on
He’s smoking crack if he thinks FLA is in play, given the voting fuckery in that state and Cuban support for the GOP. I’d love to be wrong, but I’m just not seeing it.
17 Comments
This happens, but only if we vote, and we have to vote!
If Harris wins Florida it is over basically immediately. Get registered, get ready, make a plan, and vote!
The polls had Biden winning in 2020 and Trump won by a margin of 3.4 points (largest margin for Florida since 2004) bolstered mainly by the Latino vote. Unless that changes significantly, Trump will probably win Florida again.
Headline: will flip
First sentence: within striking distance… could potentially…
It’s annoying when news sites do that.
Reminder: Democrats need a majority in BOTH houses before they can actually effect change at the scale needed. Please vote.
This is the best tl;dr I could make, [original](https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-flip-swing-states-rnc-chair-donald-trump-1957648) reduced by 81%. (I’m a bot)
*****
> Vice President Kamala Harris is within striking distance of taking two major swing states, which would spell doom for Donald Trump's campaign, according to a former Republican National Committee chair.
> If Harris won North Carolina and Florida, along with every other non-swing state that President Joe Biden won in 2020, she would receive 272 Electoral College votes, enough to win the election, even if former President Donald Trump won every other swing state.
> A Harris win there would mean Trump would have to take every other swing state except Nevada to still win the election overall.
*****
[**Extended Summary**](http://np.reddit.com/r/autotldr/comments/1fnhkzp/kamala_harris_will_flip_two_critical_trump_states/) | [FAQ](http://np.reddit.com/r/autotldr/comments/31b9fm/faq_autotldr_bot/ “Version 2.02, ~694197 tl;drs so far.”) | [Feedback](http://np.reddit.com/message/compose?to=%23autotldr “PM’s and comments are monitored, constructive feedback is welcome.”) | *Top* *keywords*: **state**^#1 **Harris**^#2 **Republican**^#3 **Steele**^#4 **Trump**^#5
She’s probably going to flip NC. Ohio might be closer than a lot of people are expecting too because Vance is pissing off so many people in places like Springfield.
Florida will be close, but I doubt it’ll flip… they will not only vote for Trump, but also for Rick Scott…
There’s almost no scenario where Harris wins NC but doesn’t win say PA. If NC goes for Harris then it’s a blow out night.
NC I almost expect to go harris
Florida not so much but I’ve been wrong before
Let’s hope she can
Florida + NC has been my prediction all along.
That would be great, but fresh polls published 5 minutes ago are stomach-churning. They show Trump has reversed Kamala’s positive results from last week. (These are NYT/Siena which we were all pleased to believe last week.)
If we apply the following neutral and highest-probability assumptions:
* Trump wins all assumed red states
* Kamala wins all assumed blue states
* Kamala manages to sweep the “blue wall states”
* Trump fails to win either WI, MI or PA
* Kamala wins the Omaha EC vote
this would result in a 270-268 Kamala win. Of course we’d also need to hope all blue state margins are sizeable enough to beat back corrupt GOP challenges and crooked SCROTUS interference.
BUT… if Nebraska’s crooked governor gets away with his plot to steal the Omaha EC vote from Harris and grant it to Trump, then Trump wins the election. That’s because it creates a 269-269 tie, and the tie-breaking rules favor Republicans.
Democrats going all in on Texas and Florida? Do it nerds. The best defense is a good offence.
Might be enough to win Ted Cruz’s seat in Texas even if they lose there.
If Kamala flips Florida and North Carolina, the GOP will need to abort their platform.
Good. Flip those states, and we can finally flip Trump the bird for the final time.
He’s smoking crack if he thinks FLA is in play, given the voting fuckery in that state and Cuban support for the GOP. I’d love to be wrong, but I’m just not seeing it.
I would not put money on florida flipping.