Kamala Harris holds major lead over Trump among folks who aren’t brainwashed.
Bored_guy_in_dc on
If we were living in sane times, it would be a huge lead in every state / demographic… but, here we are…
IngsocInnerParty on
Big if true.
the_sylince on
Bruh, Florida goes blue and I’ll Venmo this whole thread a beer/boba tea
Edit: y’all are great. I don’t know if I can Venmo this much liquid – but we do go blue down here, I’ll find a way to make a major donation/beer/boba tea purchase with charity in mind.
thelastbluepancake on
Florida also had 200k more registered repubs move there in the last 10 years than dems. it is an up hill battle there
Halefire on
This is why polling is such a difficult thing to interpret and why pollsters and poll aggregators have a difficult job: how do we make sense of this with Harris also being down 12 in the latest NYT poll?
The answer, as always, is to go to the fundamentals: the poll could be an outlier. This assessment of independents could be inaccurate. Or, neither could be true and we just won’t know until the actual result is held.
Independent-Bug-9352 on
In Florida:
Republicans: 5.4 million (39%)
Democrats: 4.4 million (31%)
No Affiliation: 3.6 million (26%)
Minor Parties: 0.4 million (2%)
ish (rounding errors).
For comparison, Arizona has more registered Independents than either Republicans or Democrats.
WaitingForNormal on
Hey florida, seeing as shit just keeps getting crazier down there, wouldn’t it be nice to elect someone who wants to do something about it, instead of going with the guy who thinks it’s a hoax. Is your livelihood a hoax?
Ccphus on
Newsweek is flooding this sub
monospaceman on
I’m sorry but Kamala ain’t winning Florida. This is going to be a razor thin election, probably centered around Pennsylvania.
Tommy__want__wingy on
If Kamala wins Florida (and the election because of it) I’ll eat an avocado.
>I hate them.
Free-Bird-199- on
This would be good news.
The race will be won by whomever can win the Independents and NAVs.
Vote Blue!
Crypty on
Do polls self-select for idiots? I mean who with a brain, in this day and age is clicking on random links via text or answering unknown calls?
W0666007 on
Whom apparently make up a tiny proportion of the voters because Trump overall has good polling numbers in Florida.
Soft-Lock-2207 on
Remember to ignore the news and make sure you vote.
Having said that I hope that America sends a clear message. That we don’t like fascists and republicans should stop trading on identity politics
Stellar_Stein on
And yet, the latest NYT poll shows her 5 points behind The Orange One in Florida. And, as in 2000, the Republicans hold the executive, legislature, judicial branches and the Attorney General so November should be interesting. I have no confidence that Florida will legally go for Kamala, regardless of the results.
Scottydog2 on
Now go vote!
PitterPatter12345678 on
I don’t think Trumps campaign crowd sizes equate to the polling numbers he is generating. Again, my opinion is a lot of recent polling is over indexing, and potentially overcomplicating the data. We’ve had multiple election cycles in a row now where the polling data was off from a lot to moderately. These current pre-election polls are following the same patterns as 2016, 2018, 2020, and 2022. Something is off.
SlutsandCinema on
Hurricanes aside I really hope I don’t have to move smh
glitzvillechamp on
Can confirm, I’m registered Libertarian in Florida and I’m voting Harris. I’ve also seen enough that I’m changing my registration after this to Democrat.
OhtaniMets99 on
I would imagine either texas or Florida turning blue would be the nail in the coffin
aboatz2 on
It’s been said before, but polls don’t matter. There are so many variables presented in this Presidential election that pollsters haven’t adequately compensated against, & even in 2016, major pollsters realized that the very act of “measuring” the data changes the data, due to how its presented to the public as fact.
Even if true that Harris holds this lead or that lead in opinion polling, that doesn’t mean she is winning, because votes haven’t been cast. Further, reporting on Presidential polls impacts voter turnout, which can drastically alter lower-ticket races, which can be every bit as vital as the Presidential race. Most of your rights have been granted or stripped away by people who weren’t Presidents.
All that matters is voting, and getting people engaged & excited about voting. Polling is irrelevant, & should be ignored as white noise.
AltoidStrong on
#Flip Florida Blue!!
Let’s save the state!! Get out and vote!!!
NeverSayNever2024 on
Yeah, well, its Newsweek. So I’ll take it with a grain of salt
easythrees on
Don’t get complacent! Please make sure to check your registration and vote! Also please consider volunteering to help get the vote out!!
Raspberries-Are-Evil on
Can you imagine the epic meltdown if she pulls out Florida?
ZealousidealRide7125 on
With his lack of response to the hurricanes, he is going to get the same rep he has in NY… being a stain
28 Comments
Kamala Harris holds major lead over Trump among folks who aren’t brainwashed.
If we were living in sane times, it would be a huge lead in every state / demographic… but, here we are…
Big if true.
Bruh, Florida goes blue and I’ll Venmo this whole thread a beer/boba tea
Edit: y’all are great. I don’t know if I can Venmo this much liquid – but we do go blue down here, I’ll find a way to make a major donation/beer/boba tea purchase with charity in mind.
Florida also had 200k more registered repubs move there in the last 10 years than dems. it is an up hill battle there
This is why polling is such a difficult thing to interpret and why pollsters and poll aggregators have a difficult job: how do we make sense of this with Harris also being down 12 in the latest NYT poll?
The answer, as always, is to go to the fundamentals: the poll could be an outlier. This assessment of independents could be inaccurate. Or, neither could be true and we just won’t know until the actual result is held.
In Florida:
Republicans: 5.4 million (39%)
Democrats: 4.4 million (31%)
No Affiliation: 3.6 million (26%)
Minor Parties: 0.4 million (2%)
ish (rounding errors).
For comparison, Arizona has more registered Independents than either Republicans or Democrats.
Hey florida, seeing as shit just keeps getting crazier down there, wouldn’t it be nice to elect someone who wants to do something about it, instead of going with the guy who thinks it’s a hoax. Is your livelihood a hoax?
Newsweek is flooding this sub
I’m sorry but Kamala ain’t winning Florida. This is going to be a razor thin election, probably centered around Pennsylvania.
If Kamala wins Florida (and the election because of it) I’ll eat an avocado.
>I hate them.
This would be good news.
The race will be won by whomever can win the Independents and NAVs.
Vote Blue!
Do polls self-select for idiots? I mean who with a brain, in this day and age is clicking on random links via text or answering unknown calls?
Whom apparently make up a tiny proportion of the voters because Trump overall has good polling numbers in Florida.
Remember to ignore the news and make sure you vote.
Having said that I hope that America sends a clear message. That we don’t like fascists and republicans should stop trading on identity politics
And yet, the latest NYT poll shows her 5 points behind The Orange One in Florida. And, as in 2000, the Republicans hold the executive, legislature, judicial branches and the Attorney General so November should be interesting. I have no confidence that Florida will legally go for Kamala, regardless of the results.
Now go vote!
I don’t think Trumps campaign crowd sizes equate to the polling numbers he is generating. Again, my opinion is a lot of recent polling is over indexing, and potentially overcomplicating the data. We’ve had multiple election cycles in a row now where the polling data was off from a lot to moderately. These current pre-election polls are following the same patterns as 2016, 2018, 2020, and 2022. Something is off.
Hurricanes aside I really hope I don’t have to move smh
Can confirm, I’m registered Libertarian in Florida and I’m voting Harris. I’ve also seen enough that I’m changing my registration after this to Democrat.
I would imagine either texas or Florida turning blue would be the nail in the coffin
It’s been said before, but polls don’t matter. There are so many variables presented in this Presidential election that pollsters haven’t adequately compensated against, & even in 2016, major pollsters realized that the very act of “measuring” the data changes the data, due to how its presented to the public as fact.
Even if true that Harris holds this lead or that lead in opinion polling, that doesn’t mean she is winning, because votes haven’t been cast. Further, reporting on Presidential polls impacts voter turnout, which can drastically alter lower-ticket races, which can be every bit as vital as the Presidential race. Most of your rights have been granted or stripped away by people who weren’t Presidents.
All that matters is voting, and getting people engaged & excited about voting. Polling is irrelevant, & should be ignored as white noise.
#Flip Florida Blue!!
Let’s save the state!! Get out and vote!!!
Yeah, well, its Newsweek. So I’ll take it with a grain of salt
Don’t get complacent! Please make sure to check your registration and vote! Also please consider volunteering to help get the vote out!!
Can you imagine the epic meltdown if she pulls out Florida?
With his lack of response to the hurricanes, he is going to get the same rep he has in NY… being a stain
If you live in Florida get out and vote!!