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thenewrepublic on
>But Trump’s edge on that overall metric has been steadily shrinking in many polls. And the Cook poll’s finding that Harris has reached parity on inflation in particular is important: It suggests Harris’s messaging is working. Harris has poured immense resources into highlighting the aspects of her economic agenda that are focused on affordability: Her campaign has spent $35 million broadcasting just three ads about her policies to curb costs on a variety of fronts, ads that have run over 50,000 times.
MadRaymer on
So the “keys” guy, Allan Lichtman, has predicted Harris as the winner this year. Now, I don’t put a lot of faith in prognosticators. He’s got a good track record, but it’s not perfect. For example, he missed Gore in 2000, but argues that Gore won the popular vote and potentially won Florida and the election, depending on how the vote was counted there. And while he predicted Trump’s win in 2016, he claimed he would win the popular vote that year too.
But I was watching him talk about his system on a live stream and he made an interesting point. Someone asked him: the economy is good on paper, but people don’t feel that way about it. Shouldn’t the system take that into account? He responded that so far, economic data has been the more reliable predictor than how people *feel* about that data, and that he wouldn’t consider revising the system unless it started making errors.
> There is a telling number buried in a new Cook Political Report poll of the seven key battleground states: Harris is now dead even with Trump on which candidate likely voters trust on "Getting inflation under control." In August, Cook's polling found Trump leading by six points on this question; now each candidate has 47 percent.
> The Cook poll-which also finds Harris with slight leads in Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Arizona, and Nevada, a tie in North Carolina, and Trump ahead in Georgia-finds Trump ahead of Harris by 50-45 percent on who is trusted to handle the economy overall.
I truly love how this rageaholic has a rival Twitter clone but even that can’t keep him off Twitter.
evets199 on
This lying POS. ESAD MF
VisibleVariation5400 on
Jobs report is a lie. Trump is still a piece of shit.
spacebread98 on
Trump is a communist
CurrentlyLucid on
Someone pointed out to him the economy is doing great, and he replied, no, it is terrible actually….gaslights as he breathes.
Leather-Map-8138 on
While Trump will ask his friend to drop some bombs to things look dangerous, Russia might not have too many left. Still, he’s pretty sure Vlad has some left over for an October surprise. Nobody needs it more than those two guys.
humcohugh on
I’m definitely voting for Harris. But I also don’t believe the “stunning new jobs report.”
This election has nothing to do with jobs anyway. It’s about keeping a deranged authoritarian out of the Oval office. All other considerations take a backseat to that.
winnie_the_Xii on
Wonder how much it will be revised down? Don’t forget they revised last year down by 800k less than reported. The sheep are real on reddit
Morepastor on
“I hate jobs”
zombiefied on
I have some bad news for you if you think Diaper Don lets reality interfere with anything he says…
No-Bid4094 on
Honestly, I’m not sure this will matter. Truth and/or verifiable facts don’t seem to be part of the calculation the Trumpers are making in their voting decisions.
15 Comments
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>But Trump’s edge on that overall metric has been steadily shrinking in many polls. And the Cook poll’s finding that Harris has reached parity on inflation in particular is important: It suggests Harris’s messaging is working. Harris has poured immense resources into highlighting the aspects of her economic agenda that are focused on affordability: Her campaign has spent $35 million broadcasting just three ads about her policies to curb costs on a variety of fronts, ads that have run over 50,000 times.
So the “keys” guy, Allan Lichtman, has predicted Harris as the winner this year. Now, I don’t put a lot of faith in prognosticators. He’s got a good track record, but it’s not perfect. For example, he missed Gore in 2000, but argues that Gore won the popular vote and potentially won Florida and the election, depending on how the vote was counted there. And while he predicted Trump’s win in 2016, he claimed he would win the popular vote that year too.
But I was watching him talk about his system on a live stream and he made an interesting point. Someone asked him: the economy is good on paper, but people don’t feel that way about it. Shouldn’t the system take that into account? He responded that so far, economic data has been the more reliable predictor than how people *feel* about that data, and that he wouldn’t consider revising the system unless it started making errors.
This is the best tl;dr I could make, [original](https://newrepublic.com/article/186812/trumps-midnight-rants-face-rude-awakening-stunning-new-jobs-report) reduced by 89%. (I’m a bot)
*****
> As the clock crept toward midnight on Thursday evening, Donald Trump unleashed two all-caps social media missives that neatly captured the sophistication of his arguments on the economy.
> There is a telling number buried in a new Cook Political Report poll of the seven key battleground states: Harris is now dead even with Trump on which candidate likely voters trust on "Getting inflation under control." In August, Cook's polling found Trump leading by six points on this question; now each candidate has 47 percent.
> The Cook poll-which also finds Harris with slight leads in Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Arizona, and Nevada, a tie in North Carolina, and Trump ahead in Georgia-finds Trump ahead of Harris by 50-45 percent on who is trusted to handle the economy overall.
*****
[**Extended Summary**](http://np.reddit.com/r/autotldr/comments/1fws21p/trumps_midnight_rants_face_rude_awakening/) | [FAQ](http://np.reddit.com/r/autotldr/comments/31b9fm/faq_autotldr_bot/ “Version 2.02, ~694685 tl;drs so far.”) | [Feedback](http://np.reddit.com/message/compose?to=%23autotldr “PM’s and comments are monitored, constructive feedback is welcome.”) | *Top* *keywords*: **Trump**^#1 **voter**^#2 **economy**^#3 **Harris**^#4 **economic**^#5
I truly love how this rageaholic has a rival Twitter clone but even that can’t keep him off Twitter.
This lying POS. ESAD MF
Jobs report is a lie. Trump is still a piece of shit.
Trump is a communist
Someone pointed out to him the economy is doing great, and he replied, no, it is terrible actually….gaslights as he breathes.
While Trump will ask his friend to drop some bombs to things look dangerous, Russia might not have too many left. Still, he’s pretty sure Vlad has some left over for an October surprise. Nobody needs it more than those two guys.
I’m definitely voting for Harris. But I also don’t believe the “stunning new jobs report.”
This election has nothing to do with jobs anyway. It’s about keeping a deranged authoritarian out of the Oval office. All other considerations take a backseat to that.
Wonder how much it will be revised down? Don’t forget they revised last year down by 800k less than reported. The sheep are real on reddit
“I hate jobs”
I have some bad news for you if you think Diaper Don lets reality interfere with anything he says…
Honestly, I’m not sure this will matter. Truth and/or verifiable facts don’t seem to be part of the calculation the Trumpers are making in their voting decisions.