I’m not getting complacent, will vote, and hopefully convince more folks to vote but this certainly feels like a turning point. I don’t think it’s going to be close at all (outside of Republican rat-fucking).
Antisocial-sKills on
The ONLY poll that will matter is at your polling place on election day.
Nation polls are not an accurate indicator. People vote locally and votes matter more in some states than others.
account_for_yaoi on
Biden won with a final popular vote margin of +4.5. I feel a bit better about the EC if this 5 point lead ends up as reality.
MiepGies1945 on
Do not believe or trust the polls.
All news outlets predicted that Hillary Clinton had an 85% chance to win.
People stayed home & did not vote for Clinton.
I lived in Utah & I showed up at my polling place to vote in person & they changed the entrance to the polling location. Same building but door was locked & no sign of where to vote. Luckily I figured it out.
My point is that things can go wrong. Make sure you are registered. Vote early. This is the most important election ever.
Trump is beholden to Putin. That should terrify you.
Polls can be a snapshot of the current mood but they aren’t foolproof. The real impact comes from voter turnout, so regardless of the polls, making sure everyone gets out to vote is key.
NoPomegranate4794 on
Early voting starts in two weeks where I live. Can’t wait!
GriefyLeans on
Supporting
Antelope-Subject on
Keep on pegging !
sorospaidmetosaythis on
Say, I’ve heard that opinion polls don’t determine the outcomes of elections, which are actually decided based on ballots cast.
Is this true?
ShaggyLlamaRage on
I’m kind of getting tired of this posts, I’m voting for Harris, I don’t want these posts to make people think “oh, she will win anyway without my vote”
NO! You should be scared, you should know there a chance to lose to trump, GET OUT AND VOTE PEOPLE!
robot_jeans on
Nationally doesn’t mean shit, we need +10 in each battle ground state plus NC and another to avoid GA and AZ shenanigans.
TrooperJohn on
The trend lines matter at least as much as the raw numbers.
Harris’ support has slowly, steadily grown since she entered the race. Not linearly, but overall the drift has been clear.
Watch what the campaigns are doing. One of them is frantically trying to change EC allocations, changing election rules at the last minute, and making up stories about cat-eating immigrants. The other one is just plugging away, communicating with voters, and doing its best to earn votes rather than suppress them.
It’s obvious which way this has been going.
mvario on
I’m still gobsmacked that anyone would vote for the seditious, felonious, Russian asset. I suppose I don’t understand the cult mindset. It should not even be close.
NewMidwest on
Trump voters turn to conspiracy theories and nonsense to explain Trump’s loss in 2020.
The simple truth is, Americans don’t like him.
Kind-City-2173 on
Harris needs to be winning by a decent margin in the polls because they are often inaccurate and look what happened in 2020. The race was so much tighter than it was projected to be.
EricsAuntStormy on
If she hits +10%, Lord Mudflap will be in the wind.
GenesisDoesnt on
Trump is going to lose hard. Her rallies are overflowing while people are leaving Trumps out of boredom.
Swing state polls are important and Trump can easily win each one with low turn out.
This could still be 2016 all over again because of the uneducated voter.
We need high gen z turn out, high women turnout.
High everything.
Even with these great national polls.
It’s still a 50/50 race.
phinbar on
I have 5, can I get a 10?
celtbygod on
Vote Just Vote !
caserock on
heh heh “tops”
UAngryMod on
Should be 90 to 10
BioDriver on
In any other modern democracy there would be a 0 at the end of that 5. What the fuck is wrong with us?
InevitableAvalanche on
Good. Still excited to vote.
SBRH33 on
Tops Chump by 5 points nationally.
But that pesky electoral college lurking in the shadows being molested and rigged by Lindsey Gramhm and his MAGA cronies in Nebraska.
tsa004 on
power bottom trump likes it no other way. Make Pegging great again !
Harkonnen_Dog on
Trump is a bottom.
Proud_Dem on
Reminds me of when Obama was running. Pure joy and confidence. We’re going to beat that fascist, felon trump, then it will be off to prison for the Russian asset
memphisjones on
That’s why Republicans in Nebraska and Georgia are changing the voting laws to rig the election in their favor.
cometflight on
That’s actually a travesty. I will never understand what people see in that orange blimp. He’s a horrendous human being.
TheRealTK421 on
What I **love**:
For the *vaaaast* amount of polling/stats gathered (by the venerable & most-respected orgs), this is *outside the margin of error*.
Soooo, statistically, there’s nothing ‘iffy’ or dubious in these numbers.
And I fully suspect this gap *will* widen as the snowball rolls on. Voters have a noted tendency to tilt *towards* those who are increasingly deemed “the (obvious) winner” even if – and *especially* when – they may be on the fence.
For me, *this* indicates that moderate R/GOP (suburban) women, aged 25-40, are increasingly likely to skew towards Harris. And soooon, we’ll have our first instance as Americans to say “Madame President”.
**That’s >>dope<<!!**
Ryan1980123 on
Full steam ahead! Don’t let off!
anthonylornemontague on
Not enough.
mistertickertape on
She still has a lot of room to go up and republicans, especially trump and Vance, have a lot of gaffes they can and will make between now and Election Day.
Rough_Idle on
I’m seeing a bit of a disconnect between these now steady headlines of Harris out polling Trump and the aggregator websites like 270towin which still show this race as neck and neck. If these stories are accurate and the sites reflect them accurately, their heat maps should look a lot different than they do. I guess I have low confidence in the process right now, partly because I cannot imagine what an undecided voter is weighing in their mind at this point.
Bottom line: get out and vote
lockstocks85 on
Read the first 3 words of the title and channelled my inner Archer… PHRASING!
Accomplished-Snow213 on
Let’s get this to 50% when it matters.
01wax on
Should be more.
sunflowerastronaut on
>The survey noted some Republicans who were Trump voters in 2016 and 2020 showed similar signs of disdain for their candidate but came back to vote for him in the end, signaling some of Trump’s polling may not be reflective of how people will vote in a few weeks.
>Harris’s surge nationally may be driven by her campaign efforts in battleground states. A CBS News survey released Sunday showed she slightly improved her lead over Trump in battleground states after the presidential debate.
>The NBC News poll was conducted Sept. 13-17 among 1,000 voters and has a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.
That part about how conservative voters will vote for Trump in the end couldn’t be more true
Giants4Truth on
A reminder of all the polls that said Hillary had a 5 point lead over Trump. These polls can’t be trusted. Make sure you are registered and vote.
LanceX2 on
Dont give me hope( give more )
ksiyoto on
Conventional wisdom is that she needs ~3% nationally over TFG in order to win the electoral college. So it’s a good sign, but go out and VOTE, dangit.
44 Comments
I’m not getting complacent, will vote, and hopefully convince more folks to vote but this certainly feels like a turning point. I don’t think it’s going to be close at all (outside of Republican rat-fucking).
The ONLY poll that will matter is at your polling place on election day.
Nation polls are not an accurate indicator. People vote locally and votes matter more in some states than others.
Biden won with a final popular vote margin of +4.5. I feel a bit better about the EC if this 5 point lead ends up as reality.
Do not believe or trust the polls.
All news outlets predicted that Hillary Clinton had an 85% chance to win.
People stayed home & did not vote for Clinton.
I lived in Utah & I showed up at my polling place to vote in person & they changed the entrance to the polling location. Same building but door was locked & no sign of where to vote. Luckily I figured it out.
My point is that things can go wrong. Make sure you are registered. Vote early. This is the most important election ever.
Trump is beholden to Putin. That should terrify you.
Watch this video… fascinating
[From Russia With Lev](https://youtu.be/LIbKyujShRY?feature=shared)
Polls can be a snapshot of the current mood but they aren’t foolproof. The real impact comes from voter turnout, so regardless of the polls, making sure everyone gets out to vote is key.
Early voting starts in two weeks where I live. Can’t wait!
Supporting
Keep on pegging !
Say, I’ve heard that opinion polls don’t determine the outcomes of elections, which are actually decided based on ballots cast.
Is this true?
I’m kind of getting tired of this posts, I’m voting for Harris, I don’t want these posts to make people think “oh, she will win anyway without my vote”
NO! You should be scared, you should know there a chance to lose to trump, GET OUT AND VOTE PEOPLE!
Nationally doesn’t mean shit, we need +10 in each battle ground state plus NC and another to avoid GA and AZ shenanigans.
The trend lines matter at least as much as the raw numbers.
Harris’ support has slowly, steadily grown since she entered the race. Not linearly, but overall the drift has been clear.
Watch what the campaigns are doing. One of them is frantically trying to change EC allocations, changing election rules at the last minute, and making up stories about cat-eating immigrants. The other one is just plugging away, communicating with voters, and doing its best to earn votes rather than suppress them.
It’s obvious which way this has been going.
I’m still gobsmacked that anyone would vote for the seditious, felonious, Russian asset. I suppose I don’t understand the cult mindset. It should not even be close.
Trump voters turn to conspiracy theories and nonsense to explain Trump’s loss in 2020.
The simple truth is, Americans don’t like him.
Harris needs to be winning by a decent margin in the polls because they are often inaccurate and look what happened in 2020. The race was so much tighter than it was projected to be.
If she hits +10%, Lord Mudflap will be in the wind.
Trump is going to lose hard. Her rallies are overflowing while people are leaving Trumps out of boredom.
I want her to trump his ass by 25 points.
Every time I see these headlines, I have flashbacks to 2016 of headlines like these: https://i.imgur.com/RYk1IC1.png
Ignore all National polls.
Swing state polls are important and Trump can easily win each one with low turn out.
This could still be 2016 all over again because of the uneducated voter.
We need high gen z turn out, high women turnout.
High everything.
Even with these great national polls.
It’s still a 50/50 race.
I have 5, can I get a 10?
Vote Just Vote !
heh heh “tops”
Should be 90 to 10
In any other modern democracy there would be a 0 at the end of that 5. What the fuck is wrong with us?
Good. Still excited to vote.
Tops Chump by 5 points nationally.
But that pesky electoral college lurking in the shadows being molested and rigged by Lindsey Gramhm and his MAGA cronies in Nebraska.
power bottom trump likes it no other way. Make Pegging great again !
Trump is a bottom.
Reminds me of when Obama was running. Pure joy and confidence. We’re going to beat that fascist, felon trump, then it will be off to prison for the Russian asset
That’s why Republicans in Nebraska and Georgia are changing the voting laws to rig the election in their favor.
That’s actually a travesty. I will never understand what people see in that orange blimp. He’s a horrendous human being.
What I **love**:
For the *vaaaast* amount of polling/stats gathered (by the venerable & most-respected orgs), this is *outside the margin of error*.
Soooo, statistically, there’s nothing ‘iffy’ or dubious in these numbers.
And I fully suspect this gap *will* widen as the snowball rolls on. Voters have a noted tendency to tilt *towards* those who are increasingly deemed “the (obvious) winner” even if – and *especially* when – they may be on the fence.
For me, *this* indicates that moderate R/GOP (suburban) women, aged 25-40, are increasingly likely to skew towards Harris. And soooon, we’ll have our first instance as Americans to say “Madame President”.
**That’s >>dope<<!!**
Full steam ahead! Don’t let off!
Not enough.
She still has a lot of room to go up and republicans, especially trump and Vance, have a lot of gaffes they can and will make between now and Election Day.
I’m seeing a bit of a disconnect between these now steady headlines of Harris out polling Trump and the aggregator websites like 270towin which still show this race as neck and neck. If these stories are accurate and the sites reflect them accurately, their heat maps should look a lot different than they do. I guess I have low confidence in the process right now, partly because I cannot imagine what an undecided voter is weighing in their mind at this point.
Bottom line: get out and vote
Read the first 3 words of the title and channelled my inner Archer… PHRASING!
Let’s get this to 50% when it matters.
Should be more.
>The survey noted some Republicans who were Trump voters in 2016 and 2020 showed similar signs of disdain for their candidate but came back to vote for him in the end, signaling some of Trump’s polling may not be reflective of how people will vote in a few weeks.
>Harris’s surge nationally may be driven by her campaign efforts in battleground states. A CBS News survey released Sunday showed she slightly improved her lead over Trump in battleground states after the presidential debate.
>The NBC News poll was conducted Sept. 13-17 among 1,000 voters and has a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.
That part about how conservative voters will vote for Trump in the end couldn’t be more true
A reminder of all the polls that said Hillary had a 5 point lead over Trump. These polls can’t be trusted. Make sure you are registered and vote.
Dont give me hope( give more )
Conventional wisdom is that she needs ~3% nationally over TFG in order to win the electoral college. So it’s a good sign, but go out and VOTE, dangit.